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Climate change will have an impact of the growth of African crops such as corn and cotton, leading to higher prices for both farmers and consumers. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

Ethiopian, Mozambican farmers vulnerable to dangers of climate change

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The UN’s concept of water security encompasses various needs and conditions. These include: water for drinking, economic activity, ecosystems, governance, financing, and political stability. Water security, therefore, is not just about how much natural water a country has but also how well the resource is managed. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

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    The UN’s concept of water security encompasses various needs and conditions. These include: water for drinking, economic activity, ecosystems, governance, financing, and political stability. Water security, therefore, is not just about how much natural water a country has but also how well the resource is managed. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Africa’s water security progress a drop in the ocean

    Nestlé East and Southern Africa (ESAR) has created the Nestlé Needs Youth (NNY) Agri Competition where participants stand the chance of winning mentorship opportunities and a cash prize of US$30 000. Photo: Pixabay

    Young agripreneurs have a chance to win big with Nestlé

    Catherine Kamanu believes that "farming smart" is the way to go, and prioritises working with nature instead of against it. Photo: Supplied/Catherine Kamanu

    Kenyan farmer proudly soldiers on, gumboots and all

    Many are moving away from West Africa because they relied on the small-scale fishing industry to survive. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Three factors driving West Africa’s migration crisis

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    Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

    Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

    Let’s keep our food local, says farmer and agri trainer

    Within the next ten years, AFEX intends to grow beyond Kenya to Benin, Togo, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Zambia. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

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    The course is a 6-week intense program given in three 2-week sessions at IITA in Nairobi, Kenya, hosted by B4A/ILRI hub and World Agroforestry, over the course of a year, with a maximum of 20 participants per course offering. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

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    Within the next ten years, AFEX intends to grow beyond Kenya to Benin, Togo, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Zambia. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

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    In January 2015, a three-day rain displaced nearly quarter of a million people, devastated 64,000 hectares of land, and killed several hundred people in Malawi. Photo: Ashley Cooper/Getty Images

    What African countries got out of COP26

  • Home
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    The UN’s concept of water security encompasses various needs and conditions. These include: water for drinking, economic activity, ecosystems, governance, financing, and political stability. Water security, therefore, is not just about how much natural water a country has but also how well the resource is managed. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Africa’s water security progress a drop in the ocean

    Nestlé East and Southern Africa (ESAR) has created the Nestlé Needs Youth (NNY) Agri Competition where participants stand the chance of winning mentorship opportunities and a cash prize of US$30 000. Photo: Pixabay

    Young agripreneurs have a chance to win big with Nestlé

    Catherine Kamanu believes that "farming smart" is the way to go, and prioritises working with nature instead of against it. Photo: Supplied/Catherine Kamanu

    Kenyan farmer proudly soldiers on, gumboots and all

    Many are moving away from West Africa because they relied on the small-scale fishing industry to survive. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

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    The full 100% of the Gorongosa-grown coffee's profits are ploughed back into the National Park and those who live in the surrounds. Photo: Gorgonosa Project/Supplied

    How coffee is bringing life back to Mozambican forests

    Nile co-founder Louis de Kock said the start-up is delighted to have Naspers Foundry support its mission to make fresh produce more accessible to people across the African continent. Photo: Supplied/Ventureburn

    Naspers Foundry pumps R40 million into fresh produce start-up

    Previous studies have shown that rodents and shrews are two large mammalian orders with widespread distribution and are reservoirs of many viruses. Photo: Pixabay/Supplied

    Scientists find new DNA viruses in rodents in Kenyan agri hubs

    Annita Mutoni is a young poultry farmer in Rwanda, and is finding her stride within the industry. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Rwandan poultry farmer sets her sights far beyond chicken coops

    AB InBev Africa has implemented five different agriculture projects in the countries where it makes beer. This includes project Imifino in South Africa where water, heat, and anaerobic sludge waste streams produced by the brewery is converted into agricultural inputs which sustain wetlands and spinach beds. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Five farming projects that enhance food security across Africa

  • Changemakers
    • All
    • Agribusiness
    • Agripreneurs
    • Farmers
    • Innovation
    Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

    Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

    Let’s keep our food local, says farmer and agri trainer

    Within the next ten years, AFEX intends to grow beyond Kenya to Benin, Togo, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Zambia. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Kenyan farmers take quantum leap with help from AFEX

    FAO counts on 55 implementing partners for community distributions across the country. Photo: ©FAO/Mayak Akuot

    FAO in a race against time to plant in South Sudan

    The course is a 6-week intense program given in three 2-week sessions at IITA in Nairobi, Kenya, hosted by B4A/ILRI hub and World Agroforestry, over the course of a year, with a maximum of 20 participants per course offering. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Crop scientists invited to have a crack at gene editing

    Uganda has a high literacy rate of 76.53% and is one of the world's youngest populations, which bodes well for the AYuTe Africa Challenge's success. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Young Ugandans vie for agritech challenge honours

    World Bank has launched an insurance for Kenyan farmers that starts coverage at KES 50 per month. Photo: Supplied/World Bank

    Kenyan farmers embrace new weather insurance product

    Mantombi Madona proudly follows in the footsteps of her father. Photo: Supplied/Food For Mzansi

    It’s all in your hands, says dynamo farmer and agri trainer

    Ghana's government is working together with AGRA on its SeedSAT initiative to improve the regulation of the country's informal seed sector. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    AGRA launches project to boost Ghana’s seed quality

  • Food Security
    • All
    • Crops
    • Food Trends
    • Logistics
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    Within the next ten years, AFEX intends to grow beyond Kenya to Benin, Togo, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Zambia. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Kenyan farmers take quantum leap with help from AFEX

    African avocados are growing in European export volume, and is one of the fastest-growing markets beside Latin America. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    East African avocado exports growing despite challenges

    The course is a 6-week intense program given in three 2-week sessions at IITA in Nairobi, Kenya, hosted by B4A/ILRI hub and World Agroforestry, over the course of a year, with a maximum of 20 participants per course offering. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Crop scientists invited to have a crack at gene editing

    Governments across East Africa are fighting against the impact of mold in food products. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Uganda fights to eliminate harmful aflatoxins in food

    East Africa's 2022 cereal harvest is in danger as the price of fertiliser has double since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    East Africa’s cereal harvest at risk as fertiliser prices soar

    Ghana's government is working together with AGRA on its SeedSAT initiative to improve the regulation of the country's informal seed sector. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    AGRA launches project to boost Ghana’s seed quality

    Rain, and lots of it, is needed in Somalia to relieve the famine. Photo: Supplied/FoodforAfrika.com

    Drought-stricken Somalia on the brink of catastrophe

    Zimbabwean government is using a new financial incentive to lock more grain producers and entice them to sell to the country's sole grain purchasing board. Photo: Pixabay/Supplied

    Zimbabwean government introduces maize incentive to entice farmers

    Tanzania has aims to be able to provide enough rice for itself and the rest of East Africa before moving on to the continent in 2030. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

    Tanzania sets sights on being Africa’s top rice producer

  • Lifestyle
    • All
    • Food Health
    • Trends
    A picture featuring George Chiwedzerero, who left Zimbabwe for South Africa and was not heard from for two decades.

    Missing migrants project helps families find peace

    The general impression of Zanzibar when approached from the mainland is of a long, low island with small ridges along its central north–south axis. Coconut palms and other vegetation cover the land surface. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Here’s how farming transformed Zanzibar’s coastline

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    Healing with the help of Africa’s indigenous plants

    Cassava is one of the continent's food staples. Here is a history on the root veg and its humble beginnings. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Cassava, a staple crop that sustains a continent

    Herbal remedies are commonplace in Uganda; testing these scientifically is a good way to ensure they’re safe and effective. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Herbal skin treatments in Uganda get a scientific boost

    Researchers believe that Rwanda's soft drink tax can be better used to boost public health by targeting sugar content. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Sugar tax might curb rise in obesity, diabetes in Rwanda

    Lebanese farmers have shirked using chemicals during the goring process and are realising their produce is healthy regardless. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

    Lebanese potato farmers find that less is more

    In January 2015, a three-day rain displaced nearly quarter of a million people, devastated 64,000 hectares of land, and killed several hundred people in Malawi. Photo: Ashley Cooper/Getty Images

    What African countries got out of COP26

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Ethiopian, Mozambican farmers vulnerable to dangers of climate change

by Lucinda Dordley
2 Feb 2022
in Agri News, Crops
Reading Time: 3 mins read
A A
Climate change will have an impact of the growth of African crops such as corn and cotton, leading to higher prices for both farmers and consumers. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

Climate change will have an impact on crops such as corn and cotton, leading to higher prices for both farmers and consumers. Photo: Supplied/FoodForAfrika.com

Agriculture development in Africa is predicted to be more difficult as a result of climate change. Crop and livestock production are becoming more volatile as weather patterns become less favorable in many cases. Extreme events are becoming more common, severe temperatures are expected to rise further, and rainfall patterns are expected to shift considerably more than they have already.

Africa is susceptible in general because many of its crops are on the verge of reaching physical limits, beyond which yields begin to drop. Furthermore, agriculture accounts for a significant amount of the economies of some nations (for example, one-third of Ethiopia’s GDP and one-fifth of Sub-Saharan Africa’s economic production).

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Some aspects of adaptation may be difficult; for example, African farmers are more vulnerable to higher temperatures, fluctuating rainfall, and variable yields than farmers in developed countries. The latter can usually obtain crop insurance, adjust what they plant, irrigate their fields, or apply crop protection chemicals and fertilisers more easily.

Impact on farmers and buyers

In a study, McKinsey focuses on major crops that can be found in both Mozambique and Ethiopia. By making use of crop yield models, the management consultation firm analysed and assessed the impact that climate change will have in the year 2030; particularly, how it will impact crops such as coffee and wheat in Ethiopia, along with cotton and corn in Mozambique.

“It is important to note that Africa is a climatologically diverse continent and that the results presented here are not representative of the challenges or changes faced by other African nations. Climate change will affect some regions of Africa more or less than it affects Ethiopia and Mozambique,” the firm said in its report.

“While volatility is often symmetric, meaning positive and negative shocks are roughly equally likely, we find that the overall effect of increasing volatility is negative. Farmers and other players in the value chain usually do not fully capture the benefits from good years due to a limited ability to sell bumper harvest into shallow local markets, absence of storage infrastructure to smooth supply over many years, and poor transportation infrastructure that makes sale into other markets difficult,” it added.

Ethiopian wheat producers are expected to face an 11% greater chance or larger reduction in annual production by 2030 than they are currently. The possibility of a 25% or larger decline in annual yield for Ethiopian coffee producers might rise from 3.2% to 4.2% in 2030 – a 31% increase, and a 28% cumulative likelihood over the next decade.

“We estimate that if yield shocks of this magnitude happen for both crops in the same year, Ethiopia’s GDP growth rate will be reduced by about three percentage points,” McKinsey stated.

“In Mozambique, we find a large seasonal loss (more than 30%) of the corn crop is expected to go from a highly improbable event to a 100-year event. We estimate that a 25% or greater drop in corn yields would reduce Mozambique’s GDP by 2.5%. Conversely, we find that cotton yields would become more stable; however, given the small size of cotton farming, this does not provide a strong counterbalance to the negative impacts on corn.”

An increased volatility for Africa’s crops will lead to higher price volatility, impacting both farmers and buyers.

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“African countries are already working to counteract growing volatility, but better and more localised planning and financial mobilisation will be key.”

ALSO READ: Food insecurity in Africa fuelled by ongoing conflict

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Tags: East AfricaEthiopiafood insecurityMcKinsey InternationalMozambique
Lucinda Dordley

Lucinda Dordley

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Agri News

Africa’s water security progress a drop in the ocean

by The Conversation
27 Jun 2022
0

The water security situation on the continent doesn't look good. According to a UN assessment, only 29 African countries have...

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Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

27 Jun 2022

Let’s keep our food local, says farmer and agri trainer

24 Jun 2022
Within the next ten years, AFEX intends to grow beyond Kenya to Benin, Togo, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda, and Zambia. Photo: Supplied/Pixabay

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Africa’s water security progress a drop in the ocean

Technology uptake remains low in upper parts of Africa

Let’s keep our food local, says farmer and agri trainer

Kenyan farmers take quantum leap with help from AFEX

FAO in a race against time to plant in South Sudan

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